Mr K - KEENELANDPICKS.COM

SATURDAY - October 28, 2023

Mr. K's Best Bet of the Day for Saturday - October 28,2023
Race 5: This one goes 1-1/16th on the grass. Trainer Jonathan Thomas last raced Truly Quality at Kentucky Downs where he finished a good 3rd behind Faraday. Today he makes his second start off the layoff where Thomas wins at 28%. Jose Ortiz gets the leg up here and I like him come from off the pace for the win.

The Bet: Race 5: $100 to win on #11-TRULY QUALITY

Results: Ran out. Loss of $100

Mr. K's Longshot of the Day for Saturday - October 28, 2023
Race 6: The Bowman Mill Stakes goes 6 furlongs on the main track. Wayne Catalano enters Cowes who will be making his second start of the meet here at Keeneland. He last ran in the Indian Summer Stakes on October 8th where he finished 4th to winner Committee of One. The Cat Man is switching surfaces from turf-to-dirt and puts leading rider Tyler Gaffalione on board to take care of business. I like this colt at 10-1 morning-line odds.

The Bet: Race 6: $20 across the board on #7-COWES

Results: Ran out. Loss of $60

Mr. K's Early PK5 and PK4 for Saturday - October 28, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:

Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 1: 1-4-5-7
Race 2: 2-3-8 2-3-8
Race 3: 2-4-6-7 2-4-6-7
Race 4: 1-4-7-12 1-4-7-12
Race 5: 11 1-5-9-11
Total: $96 $96

Results: ($96) ($96)

Mr. K's Late PK5 and PK4 for Saturday - October 28, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:
Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 6: 4-7-8
Race 7: 1-4-6-9 1-4-6-9
Race 8: 1-2-7 1-2-7
Race 9: 2-5-9-10 2-5-9-10
Race 10: 8   5-8-11
Total: $72 $72

Results: ($72) ($72)

FRIDAY - October 27, 2023

Mr. K's Best Bet of the Day for Friday - October 27,2023
Race 4: This $62,500 Claimer goes 1-1/16th miles on the main track. Larry Rivelli has been having quite a year for himself with a winning percentage in excess of 30%. Today he brings Buck Moon who is 1-for-1 at Keeneland with a win in April of 2022. This Malibu Moon gelding seems to always put forth a good effort as he has been in the money 13 of his 17 starts. Rivelli gives a leg up to his main man Corrales who combine to win 36% when paired together. He wins with a front-end run today.

The Bet: Race 4: $100 to win on #2-BUCK MOON

Results: Ran out. Loss of $100

Mr. K's Longshot of the Day for Friday - October 27, 2023
Race 8: The Valley View Stakes goes a mile on the lawn. Trainer Graham Motion points his live horses to go Stakes races at Keeneland and Friday he starts Spiraling Beag. I'm nots sure how you pronounce her name, but this filly has turf breeding up and down her lineage. Today she cuts back a bit in distance which may be just what the doctor ordered. I like her 12-1 morning-line and it should stay at that level in this full field of 12. Watch for her to be coming late and take it at the wire.

The Bet: Race 8: $20 across the board on #7-SPEIRLING BEAG

Results: Ran out. Loss of $60

Mr. K's Early PK5 and PK4 for Friday - October 27, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:

Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 1: 1-3-4-7
Race 2: 4-7-8-9 4-7-8-9
Race 3: 1-6-8-11 1-6-8-11
Race 4: 1-2-4-7 1-2-4-7
Race 5: 3 2-3-5-9
Total: $128 $128

Results: Conso: $6.45 $240.05

Mr. K's Late PK5 and PK4 for Friday - October 27, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:
Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 6: 4-6-7-11
Race 7: 2-6-7-9 2-6-7-9
Race 8: 1-2-7-9 1-2-7-9
Race 9: 4-5-7-8 4-5-7-8
Race 10: 9 3-9-10-12
Total: $128 $128

Results: ($128) ($128)

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THURSDAY - October 26, 2023

Mr. K's Best Bet of the Day for Thursday - October 26,2023
Race 3: This one goes 6-1/2 furlongs on the main track. Trainer Brad Cox has been heating up these past few days and today he brings Olga Isabel to Lexington where she last wired the field at Saratoga in August. This 4-year-old Tiznow filly is super-speedy and she cuts back from a mile distance which will only enhance her front-running ability. She wins easy today.

The Bet: Race 3: $100 to win on #6-OLGA ISABEL

Results: WINNER! Cashed for $158

Mr. K's Longshot of the Day for Thursday - October 26, 2023
Race 5: This turf mile for maidens has a full field of 12. Trainer Jonathan Thomas debuts 3-year-old filly Mirari who is bred for the grass and to run all day. Thomas gives a leg up to Luis Saez and when paired together they win at 31%. I like my chances with this firster at 10-1 morning-line odds.

The Bet: Race 5: $20 across the board on #5-MIRARI

Results: Ran 2nd. Cashed for $107.60

Mr. K's Early PK5 and PK4 for Thursday - October 26, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:

Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 1: 1-2-3-4-5
Race 2: 1-4-5-6 1-4-5-6
Race 3: 4-5-6 4-5-6
Race 4: 1-2-5-10 1-2-5-10
Race 5: 5 1-2-5-7-10
Total: $120 $120
Conso: $12.06
Results: ($120) ($120)

Mr. K's Late PK5 and PK4 for Thursday - October 26, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:
Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 5: 1-2-5-7-10
Race 6: 2-3-6-8-11 2-3-6-8-11
Race 7: 1-2-5-10 1-2-5-10
Race 8: 5-6-11 5-6-11
Race 9: 4 3-4-5-10
Total: $150 $120

Results: ($150) Cashed for $522.32

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WEDNESDAY - October 25, 2023

Mr. K's Best Bet of the Day for Wednesday - October 25,2023
Race 5: This high-level Maiden Special goes 7-furlongs on the main track. Brad Cox is winning at 17% this meet which is mediocre by Cox standards. Today he starts a daughter of Bernardini in firster Tarifa. This Godolphin homebred has some absolutely stellar works but will have to face a full field of 12 regally bred fillies. I like her chances as she'll likely be forgotten and go off at an attractive price.

The Bet: Race 5: $100 to win on #3-TARIFA

Results: WINNER! Cashed for $383

Mr. K's Longshot of the Day for Wednesday - October 25, 2023
Race 6: This 1-1/16th turf route is for 2-year-old fillies. Trainer Eddie Kenneally brings a Street Sense filly to Lexington for her third start after finishing a decent 4th at Churchill in her first try on the grass. Today she adds blinks and jockey Luis Saez. I look for Saez to be coming late and crossing the wire first at attractive odds of 15-1.

The Bet: Race 6: $20 across the board on #10-MO SENSE

Results: Ran out. Loss of $60

Mr. K's Early PK5 and PK4 for Wednesday - October 25, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:

Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 1: 3-4-5-9-10
Race 2: 5-7-8-10 5-7-8-10
Race 3: 2-5-7-9 2-5-7-9
Race 4: 3-5-6-7-10 3-5-6-7-10
Race 5: 3 3-5-10
Total: $200 $120
This was a $61,623
Results: Winner that I forgot to bet Cashed for $841.83

Mr. K's Late PK5 and PK4 for Wednesday - October 25, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:
Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 4:   3-5-6-7-10
Race 5: 3-5-6-10 3-5-6-10
Race 6: 5-6-8-10 5-6-8-10
Race 7: 1-7-12 1-7-10-12
Race 8: 9 1-6-9
Total: $120 $120

Results: ($120) ($120)

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SUNDAY - October 22, 2023

Mr. K's Best Bet of the Day for Sunday - October 22,2023
Race 7: The Dowager is the featured stakes on Sunday and goes 1-1/2 miles on the turf. Foreign invader Ramagna Mia shows up here for trainer Graham Motion after making her Stateside debut at Colonial Downs finishing a solid 3rd behind superstar Gina Romantica. This 4-year-old has faced much better competition in her 11 races than the others in this field, and Motion always gives a leg-up to Johnny V when he's got a live horse. I'm hoping the 6-1 morning-line stays at that level.

The Bet: Race 7: $100 to win on #6-ROMAGNA MIA

Results: WINNER! Cashed for $338

Mr. K's Longshot of the Day for Sunday - October 22, 2023
Race 5: This Allowance $140K goes 5-1/2 on the grass. Trainer Mike Maker sends out 5-year-old mare Lady Goldstart for the 21st time in her career but her 1st ever at Keeneland. Although she has 8 wins, her $300,000 in earnings is modest by industry standards. She has been favored in her last three outings with one win and two seconds, however, one big change has been made that will make the difference today. And that is the jockey change to Joel Rosario who is widely considered the best turf-sprint rider in the business. She's been given 15-1 morning-line odds but that will likely not hold. Regardless, I'm firing away.

The Bet: Race 5: $50 across the board on #11-LADY GOLDSTART

Results: SCRATCHED

Mr. K's Early PK5 and PK4 for Sunday - October 22, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:

Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 1: 1-2-3-4-6-7
Race 2: 2-4-5 2-4-5
Race 3: 1-2-4 1-2-4
Race 4: 1-7-8 1-7-8
Race 5: 11 8-9
Total: NO BET $27

Results: Single Scratched ($27)

Mr. K's Late PK5 and PK4 for Sunday - October 22, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:
Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 5: 1-3-8-9
Race 6: 1-3-4 1-3-4
Race 7: 3-6-9 3-6-9
Race 8: 2-4-11 2-4-11
Race 9: 3-10 3-10
Total: $108 $27

Results: Conso: $189.69 ($27)

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SATURDAY - October 21, 2023

Mr. K's Best Bet of the Day for Saturday - October 21,2023
Race 7: This one goes 1-1/16th on the main track. The track condition was sloppy on Friday so I'd be surprised if it was anything but muddy on Saturday afternoon. Trainer Tom Drury ships Single Dot Yaht over from Louisville where he finished 3rd in a good effort going a mile. This Good Magic colt has improved in each of his four starts and I look for him to break his maiden today in come from behind fashion. The 8-1 morning-line don't hurt either.

The Bet: Race 7: $100 to win on #2-SINGLE DOT YAHT

Results: WINNER! Cashed for $417

Mr. K's Longshot of the Day for Saturday - October 21, 2023
Race 9: My Longshot play is 20-1 on the morning-line but I'd be happy with half that price. Nom de Plume is in today's Feature which is the Raven Run Stakes going 7-furlongs on the main track. Trainer Paulo Lobo started out running this filly on the Tapeta at Turfway in her first two starts, then gave her the summer off before giving her a turf start at Ellis where she won by a length over 11 rivals. Now Lobo makes a jockey switch to Flavien Prat and cuts her back a bit in distance. She's gotta get faster to compete with these but Lobo wouldn't enter her in a G2 if she wasn't ready to roll. Give me that price of 20-1 all day.

The Bet: $20 across the board on #3-NOM DE PLUME

Results: SCRATCHED

Mr. K's Early PK5 and PK4 for Saturday - October 21, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:

Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 1: 3-5-7
Race 2: 5-9-10 5-9-10
Race 3: 2-4-11 2-4-11
Race 4: 4-5 4-5
Race 5: 2-8-9 2-8-9
Total: $81 $27

Results: ($81) ($27)

Mr. K's Late PK5 and PK4 for Saturday - October 21, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:
Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 6: 3-4-5
Race 7: 2-3-5 2-3-5
Race 8: 6-8-9 6-8-9
Race 9: 4-7 4-7
Race 10: 4-5-11 4-5-11
Total: $81 $27

Results: ($81) ($27)

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FRIDAY - October 20, 2023

Mr. K's Best Bet of the Day for Friday - October 20,2023
Race 1: Friday's opener goes 6-1/2 furlongs on the main track. With moisture predicted, I am turning to Vitaemi trained by Robertino Diodoro. The 8-year-old mare is still very quick and is 3-for-3 on wet tracks. Look for Tyler Gaffalione to break on top and go wire-to-wire.

The Bet: Race 1: $100 to win on #3-VITAEMI

Results: Ran out. Loss of $100

Mr. K's Longshot of the Day for Friday - October 20, 2023
Race 8: This one goes 1-1/8th miles on the main track. Brad Cox enters the lightly raced Surely Shirley who is 1-for-2 lifetime. We all know Curlin's thrive on off tracks and this Curlin filly should be no different. Watch Florent Geroux fly by the leaders on this closer at 10-1 morning-line odds.

The Bet: Race 8: $20 across the board on #6-SURELY SHIRLEY

Results: Ran third. Cashed for $37.20

Mr. K's Early PK5 and PK4 for Friday - October 20, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:

Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 1: 1-3-7
Race 2: 2-5-6 2-5-6
Race 3: 6 6
Race 4: 2-4-6 2-4-6
Race 5: 1-2-11 1-2-11
Total: $40.50 $13.50

Results: Conso: $4.61 ($13.50)

Mr. K's Late PK5 and PK4 for Friday - October 20, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:
Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 6: 3-5-7
Race 7: 2-10 2-10
Race 8: 3-6-8 3-6-8
Race 9: All Scratch All Scratch
Race 10: 5-11 5-11
Total: No Bet No Bet

Results:

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THURSDAY - October 19, 2023

Mr. K's Best Bet of the Day for Thursday - October 19,2023
Race 5: A full field of 12 goes postward for this 5-1/2 furlong turf sprint. Two Sip Sally makes her second start for Brendon Walsh. This 2-year-old debuted at Kentucky Downs in September and ran a solid 2nd to Pinotslittlegirl. Today she'll cut back a bit in distance and get the services of leading jock Tyler Gaffalione. Her sire Street Boss always seems to produce offspring that thrive at Keeneland. She wins today even though she'll have to overcome an outside post.

The Bet: Race 5: $100 to win on #11-TWO SIP SALLY

Results: Ran out. Loss of $100

Mr. K's Longshot of the Day for Thursday - October 19, 2023
Race 7: This turf route goes 1-1/6th. Lincoln Highway has run all five starts at a mile or more for trainer Vickie Oliver. He ran a disappointing 5th as the favorite last out at Churchill and now makes a positive jockey switch from Bejarano to Luis Saez who has 12 wins at Keeneland this meet. Look for this colt to come running down the lane late and nip 'em at the wire at juicy morning-line odds of 10-1.

The Bet: Race 7: $20 across the board on #4-LINCOLN HIGHWAY

Results: Winner! Cashed for $189.60

Mr. K's Early PK5 and PK4 for Thursday - October 19, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:

Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 1: 2-3-4-5-10
Race 2: 4-5-8-9-12 4-5-8-9-12
Race 3: 3-4-5 3-4-5
Race 4: 2-5-8 2-5-8
Race 5: 7-11 7-8-11
Total: $225 $67.50

Results: ($225) ($67.50)

Mr. K's Late PK5 and PK4 for Thursday - October 19, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:
Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 5: 7-8-11
Race 6: 2-3-4-5-8 2-3-4-5-8
Race 7: 3-4-6 3-4-6
Race 8: 6-11 4-5-11
Race 9: 3-10 1-2-3-9-10
Total: $90 $121.50

Results: ($90) ($121.50)

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WEDNESDAY - October 18, 2023

Mr. K's Best Bet of the Day for Wednesday - October 18,2023
Race 2: This is a 6-furlong sprint for 3 and up on the main track. Trainer Saffie Joseph recently brought his string to Lexington and The Distractor is making his second start after a 10-month layoff. His recent works deserve attention as this gelding is likely to be the speediest of the bunch. I'll let top jock Tyler Gaffalione take me to the winner's circle hoping to get near the 4-1 morning-line odds.

The Bet: Race 2: $100 to win on #5-THE DICTATOR

Results: SCRATCHED

Mr. K's Longshot of the Day for Wednesday - October 18, 2023
Race 7: This turfer goes 1-1/16th miles for 3 year olds and up. A full field of 12 goes postward and I'm locking in on the Steve Asmussen trained Jenny Lind that breaks from the open-air outside 12-post. Whenever Assjuice puts Rosario in the saddle in a turf race, you know his horse is live. Toss the last two and concentrate on his Indiana Downs race on June 8th where she closes into a day full of speed bias. Rosario will make a winning move today and clip this full field at the wire at morning-line odds of 12-1.

The Bet: Race 7: $20 across the board on #12-JENNY LIND

Results: Ran out. Loss of $60

Mr. K's Early PK5 and PK4 for Wednesday - October 18, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:

Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 1: 3-6-7-10
Race 2: 4-7-8 4-7-8
Race 3: 1-3-5-7 1-3-5-7
Race 4: 2-5-7 2-5-7
Race 5: 6 4-6-11
Total: $72 $54

Results: Conso:$5.77 $220.98

Mr. K's Late PK5 and PK4 for Wenesday - October 18, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:
Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 4: 2-3-4-5-7
Race 5: 1-3-4-5-6-7-9-11-12 1-3-4-5-6-7-9-11-12
Race 6: 1-4-5 1-4-5
Race 7: 2-5-12 2-5-12
Race 8: 13-Scratched 6-7-13
Total: No Bet $121.50

Results: $0 ($121.50)

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(EVERYTHING BELOW THIS DATE LOOKS IN DISARRAY DUE TO WEB DESIGNER)

SUNDAY - October 15, 2023

Mr. K's Best Bet of the Day for Sunday - October 15, 2023
Race 9: I typically hat 1-1/2 mile turf routes, but I can't seem to keep my focus away from R Calli Kim in today's finale. This 6-year-old mare is 2-for-2 since coming off a year layoff for trainer Brendan Walsh. Even though she has never run the distance, (as Billy Idol would say) there's little doubt she wants "more, more, more". She wins her third in a row today.

The Bet: Race 9: $100 to win on #1-R CALLI KIM

Results: Won for fun. Cashed for $242

Mr. K's Early PK5 and PK4 for Sunday - October 15, 2023
Race 5: This 5-1/2 furlong turf sprint could really be considered the Feature today...no disrespect to the Franklin Stakes. This full field of 12 has recognizable vets from top to bottom. I like one of those veterans named Mark of the Z who has an outrageous 43 starts to his name. This 7-year-old rarely disappoints as he hits the board 65% of the time. He has 2 wins and 2 seconds at Keeneland in 5 starts and should run well fresh off the June layoff. I like him at 10-1 morning-line odds.

The Bet: Race 5: $20 across the board on #5-MARK OF THE Z

Results: Ran 3rd. Cashed for $61.60

Mr. K's Early PK5 and PK4 for Sunday - October 15, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:

Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 1: 1-7-9
Race 2: 1-4-6 1-4-6
Race 3: 2-6 2-6
Race 4: 1-3-5 1-3-5
Race 5: 5-8-12 5-8-12
Total: $81 $27

Results: ($81) ($27)

Mr. K's Late PK5 and PK4 for Sunday - October 15, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:
Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 5: 5-8-12
Race 6: 2-9-11 2-9-11
Race 7: 1-4 1-4
Race 8: 4-7-8 4-7-8
Race 9: 1-5-6 1-5-6
Total: $81 $27

Results: ($81) ($27)

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SATURDAY - October 14, 2023

Mr. K's Best Bet of the Day for Friday - October 14, 2023
Race 6: The Maiden Special for 2-year-olds goes 1-1/16th on the main track. Trainer Danny Gargan shows up to Lexington for the first time this meet with Dornoch. This son of winning sire Good Magic has had two runner-up finishes in his only two starts. Dornoch ran a little green and was simultaneously bumped in both races. I'm predicting he'll get away clean this time under red-hot jock Luis Saez and win this one with ease.

The Bet: Race 6: $100 to win on #2-DORNOCH

Results: WINNER! Cashed for $156

Mr. K's Longshot of the Day for Friday - October 14, 2023
Race 5: This 1-1/8th turfer features a field of 10 maidens. Trainer Ian Wilkes is not on my list of faves but his horses performed well over the summer at Saratoga. He has one win at Keeneland this meet in five starts which gives me some confidence that his barn is on the improve. Today he starts filly Southampton Dock who has not run at Keeneland in 7 starts. However, her daddy English Channel excelled on the Keeneland sand-heavy turf track and I'm betting that trait will be passed down to Southampton Dock. And the aforementioned red-hot Luis Saez takes the mount on her at 12-1 morning-line odds.

The Bet: $20 across the board on #10-SOUTHAMPTON DOCK

Results: Ran out. Loss of $60

Mr. K's Early PK5 and PK4 for Saturday - October 14, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:

Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 1: 1-3-4-5
Race 2: 1-5-7-9-11 1-5-7-9-11
Race 3: 3-6-7 3-6-7
Race 4: 1-5-7 1-5-7
Race 5: 10 2-3-8-9-10
Total: $90 $112.50

Results: ($90) ($112.50)

Mr. K's Late PK5 and PK4 for Saturday - October 14, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:
Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 6: 2-6
Race 7: 1-4-5-6-9 1-4-5-6-9
Race 8: 2-6-7-11 2-6-7-11
Race 9: 7-6-12 7-6-12
Race 10: 1-2 1-2-10
Total: $120 $90

Results: ($120) ($90)

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FRIDAY - October 13, 2023

Mr. K's Best Bet of the Day for Friday - October 13, 2023
Race 8: This one goes 1-1/16th miles on the main track which should be rated fast today. Trainer Brad Cox has had 10 starters so far this meet with 2 wins. Enigmatic debuted at Kentucky Downs in September where this 2-year-old filly took the lead mid-stretch but weakened finishing 4th. Cox now goes turf-to-dirt for her second start. I look for jockey Florent Geroux to park her on the lead and try to go wire-to-wire. Let's hope the 8-1 morning-line stays put.

The Bet: Race 8: $100 to win on #2-ENIGMATIC

Results: Gate Scratch

Mr. K's Longshot of the Day for Friday - October 13, 2023
Race 7: This could be an exacta play as Mr. B and Mr. K. go head-to-head with Longshot plays in this one that goes 1-1/16th on the turf. Injunction last ran 3rd at Kentucky Downs coming off nearly a 10-month layoff for trainer Carlo Vaccarezza. This gelding has way too much upside to ignore for her second start after the freshening. I like my chances at 10-1 morning-line odds.

The Bet: Race 7: $20 across the board on #11-INJUNCTION

Results: Ran 2nd. Cashed for $137.80

Mr. K's Early PK5 and PK4 for Friday - October 13, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:

Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 1: 5-6-7-8
Race 2: 2-3-4-6-7-8-9-10 2-3-4-6-7-8-9-10
Race 3: 3-7-8 3-7-8
Race 4: 1-2-3-4-5 1-2-3-4-5
Race 5: 8 8-10
Total: $240 $60

Results: Conso: $29.70 ($60)

Mr. K's Late PK5 and PK4 for Friday - October 13, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:
Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 6: 1-2-3-6-7-8
Race 7: 5-11 5-11
Race 8: 2-9-12 9-12
Race 9: 2-5-11 2-5-11
Race 10: 3 3-6-11
Total: $54 $18

Results: Conso: $21.90 ($18)

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THURSDAY - October 12, 2023

Mr. K's Best Bet of the Day for Thursday - October 12, 2023
Race 6: This one goes 7 furlongs on the main track. Good Heart is coming off two straight so-so efforts on the grass at Ellis and Kentucky Downs. Now he returns back to the dirt where his natural speed will shine today. In his last two dirt tries, he wired the field with Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle. I look for him to repeat that effort today with ease.

The Bet: Race 6: $100 to win on #5-GOOD HEART

Results: Ran out. Loss of $100

Mr. K's Longshot of the Day for Thursday - October 12, 2023
Race 9: My Best Bet/Longshot plays are both trained by Brandon Walsh. In this turfer going 1-1/16th miles, Irish Aces is racing 2nd off a 10-month layoff. In his last at Indiana Downs, he kicked clear of 8 opponents in breaking his maiden. Now Walsh moves him waaaay up in class in this Allowance $110,000 and Tyler Gaffalione gets the leg-up. He'll need to get faster but I'll take my chances at 12-1 morning-line odds.

The Bet: Race 9: $20 across the board on #4-IRISH ACES

Results: Winner! Cashed for $212.20

Mr. K's Early PK5 and PK4 for Thursday - October 12, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:

Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 1: 1-3-5
Race 2: 1-3-8-9 1-3-8-9
Race 3: 4-5-6-8 4-5-6-8
Race 4: 2-6-7-10 2-6-7-10
Race 5: 6-9 6-7-9
Total: $192 $96

Results: Conso: $370.40 ($96)

Mr. K's Late PK5 and PK4 for Thursday - October 12, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:
Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 6: 3-4-5-6
Race 7: 3-4-6-10-12 3-4-6-10-12
Race 8: 2-4-7 2-4-7
Race 9: 1-4-11 1-4-11
Race 10: 10 1-7-9-10
Total: $90 $90

Results: ($90) $92.92

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WEDNESDAY - October 11, 2023

Mr. K's Best Bet of the Day for Wednesday - October 11, 2023
Race 6: This turf mile is for fillies and mares 3-years-old and up. Trainer Cherie DeVaux tends to gear-up for the Keeneland meet and today she's brings Star Fortress to Lexington for her first start stateside. Although she only has one win in her seven races, she's been facing classy foes at Doncaster, Newcastle and Newmarket. Her most recent was a 3rd place finish in the Aphrodite Stakes in July. This filly is getting faster each race and has been working well at Keeneland since being shipped over in August. I love her chances with superior turf rider Joel Rosario in the saddle. The 12-1 morning-line doesn't hurt either.

The Bet: $100 across the board on #11-STAR FORTRESS

Results: SCRATCHED

Mr. K's Longshot of the Day for Wednesday - October 11, 2023
Race 8: This is a turf mile for maidens. Trainer Brendan Walsh starts a grey daughter of turf-sire Kitten's Joy for Qatar Racing. She was a $110,000 purchase at last year's Keeneland sale and she's by a Tapit mare. The pedigree tells me she'll love the route distance at first asking. Jockey Tyler Gaffalione gets a leg up which only adds to the appeal of her 12-1 morning-line odds.

The Bet: $20 across the board on #5-JOYFUL IMAGE

Results: Ran out. Loss of $60

Mr. K's Early PK5 and PK4 for Wednesday - October 11, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:

Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 1: 1-2-4-6
Race 2: 2-3-5-9-11 5-11
Race 3: 2-3-4-7-10-12 3-4-10
Race 4: 2 2
Race 5: 8 2-5-8
Total: $60 $9

Results: ($60) ($9)

Mr. K's Late PK5 and PK4 for Wednesday - October 11, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:
Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 4: 1-2-3-8-12
Race 5: 2-5-6-8 2-5-6-8
Race 6: 5-9-11 5-9-11
Race 7: 1-6-10 1-6-10
Race 8: 5 1-2-5-6-8
Total: $90 $90

Results: Conso: $55.19 ($90)
_________________________________________
SUNDAY - October 8, 2023

Mr. K's Best Bet of the Day for Sunday - October 8, 2023
Race 9: Today's Juddmonte Spinster Stakes goes 1-1/8th miles on the main track. There no secret regarding Brad Cox's Idiomatic who has won 6 of her last 7 outings. Most recently was a wire-to-wire win in the Personal Ensign Stakes at Saratoga where she beat another foe in this field of seven. That foe is Todd Pletcher's Nest who looks to turn the tables on Idiomatic and will be well-supported at the windows since she has a win over this surface. I'll take my chances that Idiomatic will like Keeneland and will continue with yet another victory.

The Bet: Race 9: $100 to win on #2-IDIOMATIC

Results: WINNER! Cashed for $206

Mr. K's Longshot of the Day for Sunday - October 8, 2023
Race 8: The Indian Summer Stakes goes 5-1/2 furlongs on the grass for 2-year-olds. Wes Ward starts Bledsoe after a 5th place finish at Kentucky Downs coming off an April layoff. She cuts back in distance and loses Rosario who left town last night but gains Luis Saez who is a adequate replacement considering Bledsoe's front-running style. Ward wins at 32% in turf sprints which makes me even more enthusiastic about her chances at 10-1 morning-line odds.

The Bet: Race 8: $20 across the board on #7-BLEDSOE

Results: Ran out. Loss of $60

Mr. K's Early PK5 and PK4 for Sunday - October 8, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:

Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 1: 2-3-4
Race 2: 2-5-6 2-5-6
Race 3: 4-7 4-7
Race 4: 2-4-5 2-4-5
Race 5: 1-4-7 1-4-7
Total: $81 $27

Results: ($81) ($27)

Mr. K's Late PK5 and PK4 for Sunday - October 8, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:
Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 6: 1-6-8
Race 7: 3-4-9 3-4-9
Race 8: 5-7-10 5-7-10
Race 9: 2-3-4 2-3-4
Race 10: 3-5-11 3-5-11
Total: $121.50 $40.50

Results: ($121.50) ($40.50)

________________________________________
SATURDAY - October 7, 2023

Mr. K's Best Bet of the Day for Saturday - October 7, 2023
Race9: The Breeders' Futurity will likely produce a few runners that advance onto the Breeder's Cup Juvenile at Santa Anita in 5 weeks. The favorite Locked drew the outside post 9 so he'll have to overcome a potentially wide trip. With that potential issue, I am pointing to the Brad Cox runner Awesome Road. This son of Quality Road won his debut at Ellis by 2-3/4 lengths over next-out winner Stronghold. This $600,000 purchase is regally bred and has the pedigree of an eventual Derby horse. Cox gives a leg up to Flavien Prat which only adds to the appeal.

The Bet: Race 9: $100 to win on #3-AWESOME ROAD

Results: Ran out. Loss of $100

Mr. K's Longshot of the Day for Saturday - October 7, 2023
Race 10: The Coolmore Turf Mile is today's Feature stakes of four on the day. Trainer Greg Foley brings Stitched to Lexington after a solid effort fresh off the layoff at Kentucky Downs finishing 2nd. Now he steps up in class and Brian Hernandez jumps back in the irons where he is 2-for-2 on this colt. I love his juicy 15-1 morning-line odds.

The Bet: Race 10: $20 across the board on #3-STITCHED

Results: Ran out. Loss of $60

Mr. K's Early PK5 and PK4 for Saturday - October 7, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:

Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 1: 1-5-6-8
Race 2: 1-6-13 1-6-13
Race 3: 2-3-5-6 2-3-5-6
Race 4: 1-5-6 1-5-6
Race 5: 3-4-9 3-4-9
Total: $216 $44

Results: ($216) ($44)

Mr. K's Late PK5 and PK4 for Saturday - October 7, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:
Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 6: 1-2-6-8-9-11
Race 7: 1-3-4-6 1-3-4-6
Race 8: 1-2-3-4 1-2-3-4
Race 9: 3-6-7-9 3-6-7-9
Race 10: 3 3-5-9
Total: $160 $96

Results: Conso: $43.98 $187.86

_____________________________________________
Mr. K's Best Bet of the Day for Friday - October 6, 2023
Race 9: The G1-Alcibiades is the Opening Day Feature and goes 1-1/16th miles on the main track. This strong field of nine 2-year-old fillies has hopes of vaulting to next month's Breeders' Cup with a strong effort here. Trainer Kenny McPeek saddles V V's Dream who is 2-for 3 lifetime. The most recent was an 8+ length win in the Pocahantas Stakes at Churchill where jockey Brian Hernandez simply had to hang on for the victory. That field wasn't any where near as strong as this one but it shouldn't matter for this daughter of champion sire Mitole. I'm hoping for fair odds of 5-2 along with a big effort.

The Bet: Race 9: $100 to win on #5-V V's DREAM

Results: Good effort. Ran 2nd. Loss of $100

Mr. K's Longshot of the Day for Friday - October 6, 2023
Race 8: The G2-Jessamine Stakes goes 1-1/16th miles on the grass. This pattern for trainer Graham Motion is a winning one. That formula is having a horse break her maiden at first asking, then running a prep at a sprint distance, then stretching her out when the big money is on the line. That's exactly what he's doing here with Toupie. She broke her maiden by 8 lengths going 5f at Laurel on the dirt, then came back after 60 days rest to prep for this race on the grass course going 5-1/2 furlongs running finishing a good 2nd. Now Motion stretches her out and retains the services of Flavien Prat. Motion wins at 30% on the sprint-to-route angle which makes me like this filly all the more at 20-1 morning-line odds.

The Bet: Race 8: $20 across the board on #5-TOUPIE

Results: Got bet down to 3-1 at one point. Never threatened. Loss of $60

Mr. K's Early PK5 and PK4 for Friday - October 6, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:

Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 1: 1-4-8-9-11
Race 2: 1-4-6-8-10 1-4-6-8-10
Race 3: 1 1
Race 4: 5-6-7 5-6-7
Race 5: 5-6 5-6-11
Total: $75 $22.50

Results: Conso: $51.69 ($22.50)

Mr. K's Late PK5 and PK4 for Friday - October 6, 2023
50-cent part-wheel:
Pick-5 Pick-4
Ticket #1 Ticket #1
Race 6: 2-3-6-9-12
Race 7: 1-2-3-4-9 1-2-3-4-9
Race 8: 2-5-7-10 2-5-7-10
Race 9: 4-5 4-5
Race 10: 4-8 4-8-9
Total: $200 $60

Results: ($200) ($60)